Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for David Peterson

260th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for Jose Trevino

229th out of 568 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Trevino
4

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.5% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%24.1%2.4%5.1%16.7%7.3%17.4%
Trevino+1.5+1.2-0.2-0.1+1.5+0.4-2.2
Peterson-1.4+1.2+0.1+0.1+1.0-2.6-4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Trevino has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +0.0% 5%         Walk -1.1% +1.3% 36%         In Play +8.0% -1.3% 39%         On Base 0.0% +2.2% 31%         Hit +1.1% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.7% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -1.0%

History

Jose Trevino has 2 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.750.000.010.740.376
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-25Single74%25%
2024-06-25Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.