Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Michael Kopech

262nd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

Michael Kopech

matchup for Jose Trevino

532nd out of 568 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Kopech

Jose Trevino has a 26.6% chance of reaching base vs Michael Kopech, which is 3.4% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Kopech.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.6%	18.4%	2.8%	3.8%	11.7%	8.1%	28.3%
Trevino	-3.4	-4.6	+0.2	-1.3	-3.5	+1.2	+8.7
Kopech	-1.4	+1.6	-0.1	+0.6	+1.1	-3.0	-5.1

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Kopech is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Trevino has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Kopech throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

65%

Slider (R)

24%

9% of Michael Kopech's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Likely Ball 19%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

32% of Michael Kopech's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 32%

+21%

Large Break 37%

+16%

Fastball (R) 67%

+14%

Extreme Fast Velo 15%

+12%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Michael Kopech strikes out 19.8% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% +6.4% 5%

Walk -1.1% +3.4% 36%

In Play +8.0% -9.8% 39%

On Base 0.0% -3.8% 31%

Hit +1.1% -7.3% 14%

Single +0.7% -4.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% -3.7% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +0.4%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Michael Kopech induces Standard Grounders at a 29.1% rate, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% -5.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% -2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +6.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +0.9%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael Kopech are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% -2.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% -2.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% +0.6%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 13.5% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% -1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% -1.5% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% -3.6% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +2.1% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% +2.1% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +2.8%

Jose Trevino has 2 plate appearances against Michael Kopech in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.04	0.00	0.00	0.03			0.038

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-15	Groundout			3%	96%
2022-05-15	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History