Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for Tayler Saucedo

131st out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Tayler Saucedo

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matchup for Jose Trevino

401st out of 568 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Saucedo
1

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tayler Saucedo, which is 0.1% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Saucedo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%21.8%1.9%4.6%15.3%8.3%20.0%
Trevino+0.1-1.2-0.7-0.6+0.1+1.3+0.4
Saucedo-3.3+0.0-0.1-0.3+0.4-3.3-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tayler Saucedo is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Trevino has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tayler Saucedo throws a Sinker 44% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
21%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Tayler Saucedo strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% -2.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% +1.4% 36%         In Play +8.0% +1.5% 39%         On Base 0.0% +4.2% 31%         Hit +1.1% +2.8% 14%         Single +0.7% +1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +2.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.6%

History

Jose Trevino has 1 plate appearance against Tayler Saucedo in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-30Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.