Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for Paul Sewald

221st out of 436 (Best 51%)

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Paul Sewald

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matchup for Jose Trevino

445th out of 568 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Sewald
2

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Paul Sewald, which is 2.7% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Sewald.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%20.9%2.6%5.5%12.9%6.3%21.1%
Trevino-2.7-2.0-0.1+0.3-2.3-0.7+1.6
Sewald-1.3+0.6-0.6-0.1+1.3-1.9-7.1

Handedness and Release Point

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Paul Sewald is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Trevino has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Paul Sewald throws a 4-seam fastball 59% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
59%
   Slider (R)
38%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Paul Sewald strikes out 23.4% of the batters he faces, which is 12.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +12.6% 5%         Walk -1.1% -2.6% 36%         In Play +8.0% -10.0% 39%         On Base 0.0% -9.4% 31%         Hit +1.1% -6.8% 14%         Single +0.7% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -2.9% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years