Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Paul Blackburn

173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

Paul Blackburn

matchup for Jose Trevino

142nd out of 568 (Best 26%)

Strong advantage for Trevino

Jose Trevino has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Paul Blackburn, which is 1.9% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Blackburn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	26.1%	2.8%	5.1%	18.1%	5.8%	16.1%
Trevino	+1.9	+3.1	+0.2	0.0	+2.9	-1.2	-3.5
Blackburn	-1.6	+1.7	-0.4	0.0	+2.1	-3.3	-3.7

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Paul Blackburn is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Trevino has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Paul Blackburn throws a Sinker 22% of the time. Jose Trevino has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

15%

Curve (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

12%

22% of Paul Blackburn's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

26% of Paul Blackburn's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 26%

+15%

Large Break 33%

+12%

Low Ride 34%

+11%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Paul Blackburn strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% -5.1% 5%

Walk -1.1% -1.2% 36%

In Play +8.0% +6.2% 39%

On Base 0.0% +4.8% 31%

Hit +1.1% +6.0% 14%

Single +0.7% +3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% +3.6% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -0.6%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Paul Blackburn induces Standard Grounders at a 37.2% rate, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% +2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% -0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -3.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% +5.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -4.7% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +0.7%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 22.1% of batted balls allowed by Paul Blackburn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% +3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% -2.2%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% +0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% +0.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% +1.8% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% -0.6% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% -1.2%

Jose Trevino has 4 plate appearances against Paul Blackburn in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.21	0.00	0.00	0.21			0.054

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-27	Groundout			11%	89%
2023-06-27	Groundout			10%	90%
2022-06-27	Strikeout
2022-06-27	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History