Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Walker Buehler

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Walker Buehler

matchup for Jose Trevino

289th out of 568 (Worst 49%)

Leans in favor of Trevino

Jose Trevino has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Walker Buehler, which is 0.9% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Buehler.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	22.6%	2.5%	5.9%	14.3%	6.4%	16.0%
Trevino	-0.9	-0.3	-0.2	+0.7	-0.9	-0.6	-3.6
Buehler	-0.8	+1.5	+0.1	+1.1	+0.2	-2.3	-8.1

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Walker Buehler is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Trevino has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Walker Buehler throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

17%

Kn-Curve (R)

15%

Slider (R)

13%

Sinker (R)

14% of Walker Buehler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

22% of Walker Buehler's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 22%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+14%

Small Break 21%

+13%

High Ride 21%

+11%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Walker Buehler strikes out 21.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% +6.9% 5%

Walk -1.1% -0.7% 36%

In Play +8.0% -6.2% 39%

On Base 0.0% -4.5% 31%

Hit +1.1% -3.7% 14%

Single +0.7% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -1.2%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Walker Buehler induces Standard Grounders at a 35.4% rate, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% +1.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.6% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -0.6%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 26.8% of batted balls allowed by Walker Buehler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% +0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% +2.5%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% +1.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% +2.0% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% -0.3% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% -1.1%

Jose Trevino has 2 plate appearances against Walker Buehler in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.27	0.00	0.00	0.27			0.135

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-10-28	Groundout			27%	73%
2024-10-28	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History