Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Joel Payamps

258th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

Joel Payamps

matchup for Jose Trevino

376th out of 568 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Payamps

Jose Trevino has a 27.8% chance of reaching base vs Joel Payamps, which is 2.2% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Payamps.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.8%	21.5%	3.3%	5.4%	12.8%	6.4%	21.5%
Trevino	-2.2	-1.5	+0.7	+0.2	-2.4	-0.6	+2.0
Payamps	-1.5	+0.8	-0.1	+0.4	+0.5	-2.3	-6.4

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joel Payamps is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Trevino has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Joel Payamps throws a Slider 38% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

31%

Sinker (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

11%

7% of Joel Payamps's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

33% of Joel Payamps's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Medium Drop 26%

+13%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Joel Payamps strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% +1.1% 5%

Walk -1.1% -1.4% 36%

In Play +8.0% +0.2% 39%

On Base 0.0% -5.2% 31%

Hit +1.1% -3.8% 14%

Single +0.7% -2.4% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% -2.0% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +0.5%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Joel Payamps induces Standard Grounders at a 37.6% rate, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +1.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% +3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% +1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +0.8%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Joel Payamps are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% -0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% +0.7%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% +1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% +2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -1.8% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% -3.1% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +1.2%

Jose Trevino has 3 plate appearances against Joel Payamps in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.07	0.00	0.00	0.07			0.024

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-25	Groundout			5%	95%
2022-07-30	Groundout			2%	98%
2022-04-30	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History