Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Taijuan Walker

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

Taijuan Walker

matchup for Jose Trevino

3rd out of 568 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for Trevino

Jose Trevino has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs Taijuan Walker, which is 6.4% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Walker.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.4%	27.8%	3.6%	5.4%	18.7%	8.6%	11.3%
Trevino	+6.4	+4.8	+1.0	+0.3	+3.5	+1.6	-8.3
Walker	-0.6	+1.9	0.0	-0.3	+2.2	-2.5	-2.7

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Taijuan Walker is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Trevino has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Taijuan Walker throws a 4-seam fastball 26% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

26%

Splitter (R)

24%

Sinker (R)

20%

Slider (R)

14%

Cutter (R)

Curve (R)

9% of Taijuan Walker's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

Mid Challenge 11%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 6%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

24% of Taijuan Walker's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 24%

+13%

Large Break 33%

+12%

Medium Slow Velo 23%

+10%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Taijuan Walker strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% -0.8% 5%

Walk -1.1% +0.1% 36%

In Play +8.0% +0.7% 39%

On Base 0.0% -1.3% 31%

Hit +1.1% -1.5% 14%

Single +0.7% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% -0.6% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Taijuan Walker induces Standard Grounders at a 32.9% rate, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% -1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% -1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +1.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.5% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +1.6%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Taijuan Walker are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% +4.5%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 12.7% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% +0.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% -0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% -2.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +2.2% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -1.0% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +0.1%

Jose Trevino has 5 plate appearances against Taijuan Walker in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.78	0.00	0.03	0.75			0.156

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-03	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-04-03	Groundout			29%	71%
2022-07-26	Lineout			36%	63%
2022-07-26	Fielders Choice			4%	96%
2022-07-26	Lineout		2%	1%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History