Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for Ryne Stanek

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Ryne Stanek

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matchup for Jose Trevino

492nd out of 568 (Worst 14%)

Moderate advantage for Stanek
4

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Stanek, which is 3.5% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Stanek.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.5%19.8%3.1%5.0%11.7%6.7%26.3%
Trevino-3.5-3.2+0.5-0.2-3.5-0.3+6.7
Stanek-1.0+1.3+0.2+0.3+0.8-2.3-5.8

Handedness and Release Point

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryne Stanek is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Trevino has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Ryne Stanek throws a 4-seam fastball 59% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
59%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Splitter (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Ryne Stanek strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +3.7% 5%         Walk -1.1% +3.3% 36%         In Play +8.0% -7.0% 39%         On Base 0.0% -4.3% 31%         Hit +1.1% -7.6% 14%         Single +0.7% -4.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -3.8% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.4%

History

Jose Trevino has 1 plate appearance against Ryne Stanek in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.150.000.000.140.148
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-30Groundout14%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.