Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Yimi Garcia

283rd out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Yimi Garcia

matchup for Jose Trevino

512th out of 568 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Garcia

Jose Trevino has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Yimi Garcia, which is 4.3% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Garcia.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.7%	19.0%	3.2%	4.4%	11.4%	6.7%	26.2%
Trevino	-4.3	-4.0	+0.6	-0.8	-3.8	-0.3	+6.6
Garcia	-0.8	+0.7	+0.1	+0.0	+0.6	-1.5	-5.9

Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yimi Garcia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Trevino has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Yimi Garcia throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Curve (R)

23%

Slider (R)

19%

Sinker (R)

Changeup (R)

7% of Yimi Garcia's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

36% of Yimi Garcia's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 36%

+13%

Breaking (R) 42%

+12%

Fast Velo 25%

+10%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Yimi Garcia strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% +4.2% 5%

Walk -1.1% -1.5% 36%

In Play +8.0% -2.7% 39%

On Base 0.0% -6.2% 31%

Hit +1.1% -4.7% 14%

Single +0.7% -2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% -2.7% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +0.7%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Yimi Garcia induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% -2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +1.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.4% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +3.2%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Yimi Garcia are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% +5.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% -1.3%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 14.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% -1.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% -4.0% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% -2.7% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +2.9% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +4.4%

Jose Trevino has 2 plate appearances against Yimi Garcia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.10	0.00	0.00	0.10			0.052

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-22	Groundout			8%	92%
2022-08-19	Groundout			2%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History