Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Y. Rodriguez

308th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Yariel Rodriguez

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

218th out of 568 (Best 39%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder
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Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Yariel Rodriguez, which is 2.5% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%19.8%2.6%4.5%12.7%15.2%21.5%
Refsnyder+2.5-1.9-0.2-0.6-1.1+4.4-3.7
Rodriguez+1.7-2.6+0.0-0.4-2.2+4.3-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yariel Rodriguez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Yariel Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Yariel Rodriguez strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% -2.1% 3%         Walk +1.9% +3.2% 40%         In Play -1.6% -1.1% 39%         On Base +3.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +1.1% -2.3% 14%         Single +0.3% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.9% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years