Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Trevor Richards

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Trevor Richards

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

221st out of 568 (Best 40%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Richards, which is 2.4% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Richards.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.9%	19.4%	2.8%	4.8%	11.9%	15.5%	23.1%
Refsnyder	+2.4	-2.3	0.0	-0.4	-1.9	+4.7	-2.1
Richards	+1.4	-0.7	+0.0	-0.1	-0.7	+2.1	+0.3

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Trevor Richards is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Trevor Richards throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Changeup (R)

40%

Curve (R)

9% of Trevor Richards's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 9%

+3%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 3%

-5%

40% of Trevor Richards's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 40%

+28%

Very Slow Velo 31%

+17%

Medium Break 36%

+17%

Extreme Ride 17%

+14%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Trevor Richards strikes out 19.0% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +5.1% 3%

Walk +1.9% +0.4% 40%

In Play -1.6% -5.6% 39%

On Base +3.1% -2.7% 31%

Hit +1.1% -3.2% 14%

Single +0.3% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.2%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Trevor Richards induces Standard Grounders at a 25.7% rate, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +9.0% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.9%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 20.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Richards are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +4.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -4.0%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 15.1% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% -4.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -3.5% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% +1.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +3.7% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% +2.2% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +4.5%

Rob Refsnyder has 3 plate appearances against Trevor Richards in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.84	0.23	0.60	0.01			0.281

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-17	Strikeout
2023-07-01	Double	23%	60%	1%	16%
2022-08-25	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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