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Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Bowden Francis

280th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Bowden Francis

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

495th out of 568 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Francis

Rob Refsnyder has a 26.0% chance of reaching base vs Bowden Francis, which is 6.5% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Francis.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.0%	19.4%	3.2%	4.8%	11.5%	6.6%	26.3%
Refsnyder	-6.5	-2.3	+0.4	-0.4	-2.3	-4.2	+1.0
Francis	+0.9	+0.3	-0.1	+0.5	-0.1	+0.6	+1.8

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bowden Francis is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Bowden Francis throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

52%

Curve (R)

22%

Splitter (R)

13%

Slider (R)

11%

15% of Bowden Francis's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

44% of Bowden Francis's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 44%

+24%

Slow Lob 22%

+20%

High Ride 29%

+19%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Bowden Francis strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -0.8% 3%

Walk +1.9% -2.9% 40%

In Play -1.6% +3.6% 39%

On Base +3.1% -6.9% 31%

Hit +1.1% -4.0% 14%

Single +0.3% -2.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +1.2%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Bowden Francis induces Standard Grounders at a 30.7% rate, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -3.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +3.2% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +3.7%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Bowden Francis are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -5.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +6.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -2.1%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 9.0% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% -3.7% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -1.6% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% +1.5% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -2.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -2.4% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% +0.1% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +8.3%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Bowden Francis in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.73	0.00	0.64	0.09			0.734

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-04-27	Double		64%	9%	27%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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