Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Sammy Long

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Sammy Long

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

314th out of 568 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Sammy Long, which is 1.2% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Long.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.7%	19.4%	2.4%	4.6%	12.4%	14.3%	24.6%
Refsnyder	+1.2	-2.3	-0.4	-0.5	-1.4	+3.5	-0.6
Long	+2.2	-1.0	-0.2	+0.1	-0.9	+3.1	-0.1

Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Sammy Long is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Refsnyder has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Sammy Long throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Curve (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

14%

Slider (L)

12%

13% of Sammy Long's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Meatball 5%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-1%

28% of Sammy Long's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 28%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

Extreme Slow Velo 21%

+12%

Breaking (L) 40%

+10%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Sammy Long strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -0.4% 3%

Walk +1.9% +1.9% 40%

In Play -1.6% -1.5% 39%

On Base +3.1% +2.1% 31%

Hit +1.1% +0.2% 14%

Single +0.3% -0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Sammy Long induces Standard Grounders at a 37.1% rate, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +2.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -2.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +2.2% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +0.7%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 18.6% of batted balls allowed by Sammy Long are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +4.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -5.7%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 13.7% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +0.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +2.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -3.4% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% -2.4% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% +2.9% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% -1.3%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Sammy Long in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-06	Intent Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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