Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Ryan Helsley

155th out of 436 (Best 36%)

Ryan Helsley

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

558th out of 568 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Helsley

Rob Refsnyder has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Helsley, which is 6.4% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Helsley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.1%	18.6%	1.8%	3.4%	13.3%	7.6%	36.9%
Refsnyder	-6.4	-3.2	-1.0	-1.7	-0.5	-3.2	+11.7
Helsley	-1.0	-1.0	-0.1	-0.4	-0.5	+0.0	+3.7

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Helsley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Refsnyder has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Helsley throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

53%

Slider (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

15%

Curve (R)

16% of Ryan Helsley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

35% of Ryan Helsley's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 35%

+33%

Small Break 27%

+18%

High Ride 26%

+16%

Fastball (R) 69%

+15%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Helsley strikes out 22.5% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +10.2% 3%

Walk +1.9% -0.8% 40%

In Play -1.6% -9.3% 39%

On Base +3.1% -7.8% 31%

Hit +1.1% -7.0% 14%

Single +0.3% -3.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.0%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Helsley induces Standard Grounders at a 29.6% rate, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -4.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +6.1% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +2.8%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 21.8% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Helsley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -2.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -2.5%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%