Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Alexis Diaz

339th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Alexis Diaz

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

116th out of 568 (Best 21%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder
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Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Alexis Diaz, which is 3.7% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Diaz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.2%19.9%4.0%4.5%11.4%16.3%25.5%
Refsnyder+3.7-1.9+1.2-0.7-2.4+5.6+0.3
Diaz+1.7-0.4+0.8-0.1-1.0+2.1+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Alexis Diaz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Alexis Diaz throws a 4-seam fastball 57% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
57%
   Slider (R)
43%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Alexis Diaz strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% +3.3% 3%         Walk +1.9% +4.5% 40%         In Play -1.6% -7.9% 39%         On Base +3.1% -1.2% 31%         Hit +1.1% -5.7% 14%         Single +0.3% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years