Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Chris Paddack

260th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

302nd out of 568 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.4% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.1%	24.2%	3.4%	5.7%	15.1%	6.9%	25.0%
Refsnyder	-1.4	+2.5	+0.6	+0.5	+1.3	-3.9	-0.2
Paddack	+0.8	+0.3	+0.1	+0.0	+0.3	+0.4	+2.9

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +4.3% 3%

Walk +1.9% -3.1% 40%

In Play -1.6% -1.2% 39%

On Base +3.1% -3.6% 31%

Hit +1.1% -0.5% 14%

Single +0.3% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.2%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 28.9% rate, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.9% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -5.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +0.2%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -5.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +5.8%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 11.4% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%