Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Ryan Thompson

101st out of 436 (Best 24%)

Ryan Thompson

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

452nd out of 568 (Worst 21%)

Moderate advantage for Thompson

Rob Refsnyder has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Thompson, which is 3.5% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Thompson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	22.0%	2.1%	4.1%	15.9%	7.0%	21.1%
Refsnyder	-3.5	+0.3	-0.7	-1.0	+2.1	-3.8	-4.1
Thompson	-1.9	-2.2	-0.3	-0.5	-1.4	+0.3	+1.8

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Thompson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Thompson throws a Sinker 55% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

55%

Slider (R)

33%

4-Seam (R)

11%

10% of Ryan Thompson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

37% of Ryan Thompson's pitches are classified as Large Drop, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Drop 37%

+32%

Medium Velo 41%

+30%

Extreme Break 43%

+28%

Fastball (R) 66%

+13%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Thompson strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -3.0% 3%

Walk +1.9% -2.2% 40%

In Play -1.6% +5.2% 39%

On Base +3.1% +0.1% 31%

Hit +1.1% +2.3% 14%

Single +0.3% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +1.7% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.3%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Thompson induces Standard Grounders at a 48.8% rate, which is 14.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +14.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -6.6% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -1.9% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -9.9% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.2%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Thompson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +5.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -5.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -2.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +4.5%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 6.8% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +15.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +3.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% -3.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -5.7% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -4.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% -3.5% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% -1.9%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Ryan Thompson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.92	0.00	0.03	0.88			0.918

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-07-05	Single		3%	88%	8%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History