Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Tanner Scott

251st out of 436 (Worst 43%)

Tanner Scott

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

550th out of 568 (Worst 3%)

Strong advantage for Scott

Rob Refsnyder has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Scott, which is 5.2% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Scott.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	18.3%	2.0%	3.0%	13.2%	9.1%	38.0%
Refsnyder	-5.2	-3.5	-0.7	-2.1	-0.6	-1.7	+12.8
Scott	+0.5	-0.4	+0.2	+0.3	-0.8	+0.9	+3.1

Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Tanner Scott is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Refsnyder has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Tanner Scott throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

50%

Slider (L)

49%

8% of Tanner Scott's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 1%

-5%

31% of Tanner Scott's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 31%

+27%

Medium Drop 35%

+23%

Small Break 30%

+21%

Breaking (L) 49%

+20%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Tanner Scott strikes out 22.3% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +10.5% 3%

Walk +1.9% +1.3% 40%

In Play -1.6% -11.8% 39%

On Base +3.1% +1.2% 31%

Hit +1.1% -0.1% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.9%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Scott induces Standard Grounders at a 42.6% rate, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +8.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -3.8% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +0.6%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 18.4% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Scott are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +6.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -5.9%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 12.0% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +4.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% 0.0% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% +1.4% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -3.9% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +0.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% -2.8%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Tanner Scott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-04	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History