Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Tylor Megill

333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Tylor Megill

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

334th out of 568 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Refsnyder
3

Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Tylor Megill, which is 1.4% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Megill.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%19.2%2.8%4.1%12.2%14.7%28.4%
Refsnyder+1.4-2.60.0-1.0-1.6+3.9+3.2
Megill+2.3-1.0+0.2-0.2-1.0+3.3+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tylor Megill is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Tylor Megill throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Tylor Megill strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% +1.3% 3%         Walk +1.9% +0.9% 40%         In Play -1.6% -2.2% 39%         On Base +3.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +1.1% -1.0% 14%         Single +0.3% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years