Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Jeff Hoffman

200th out of 436 (Best 47%)

Jeff Hoffman

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

530th out of 568 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Hoffman

Rob Refsnyder has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Jeff Hoffman, which is 4.8% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Hoffman.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.7%	18.3%	2.8%	4.0%	11.5%	9.4%	37.4%
Refsnyder	-4.8	-3.5	0.0	-1.1	-2.3	-1.4	+12.2
Hoffman	-0.5	-1.7	+0.1	-0.2	-1.6	+1.2	+3.6

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jeff Hoffman is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Jeff Hoffman throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

53%

Slider (R)

20%

Curve (R)

12%

Changeup (R)

10%

15% of Jeff Hoffman's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

37% of Jeff Hoffman's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 37%

+16%

High Ride 20%

+10%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Jeff Hoffman strikes out 20.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +7.2% 3%

Walk +1.9% +1.0% 40%

In Play -1.6% -8.2% 39%

On Base +3.1% -3.0% 31%

Hit +1.1% -4.0% 14%

Single +0.3% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -1.7% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.3%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Jeff Hoffman induces Standard Grounders at a 32.4% rate, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +2.4% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +3.0%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jeff Hoffman are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +3.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -2.8%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% -3.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +0.2% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% +0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -1.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% +2.5% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +4.6%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Jeff Hoffman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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