Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Brock Burke

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Brock Burke

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

430th out of 568 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Burke

Rob Refsnyder has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Brock Burke, which is 1.3% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Burke.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	23.0%	2.3%	5.2%	15.5%	8.2%	30.8%
Refsnyder	-1.3	+1.3	-0.5	+0.1	+1.7	-2.6	+5.6
Burke	+0.5	-0.1	+0.0	+0.6	-0.7	+0.6	+2.0

Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Brock Burke is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Refsnyder has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Brock Burke throws a 4-seam fastball 59% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

59%

Slider (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

14%

14% of Brock Burke's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

32% of Brock Burke's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+22%

Medium Ride 32%

+18%

Medium Break 35%

+16%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Brock Burke strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +2.1% 3%

Walk +1.9% -2.2% 40%

In Play -1.6% +0.1% 39%

On Base +3.1% +0.9% 31%

Hit +1.1% +3.1% 14%

Single +0.3% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +0.2% 0.0%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Brock Burke induces Standard Grounders at a 30.7% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.8% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +0.8%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Brock Burke are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +0.9%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +2.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% -2.6% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% +1.1% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -1.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +0.9%

Rob Refsnyder has 2 plate appearances against Brock Burke in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.70	0.00	0.14	0.57			0.351

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-06	Single		13%	56%	30%
2023-07-04	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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