Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Brandon Bielak

255th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Brandon Bielak

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

23rd out of 568 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 37.9% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Bielak, which is 5.3% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Bielak.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.9%	24.2%	3.0%	5.3%	15.8%	13.7%	12.9%
Refsnyder	+5.3	+2.4	+0.2	+0.2	+2.0	+2.9	-12.3
Bielak	+1.1	-2.0	-0.3	-0.7	-1.0	+3.1	+0.1

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Brandon Bielak is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Refsnyder has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Bielak throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

35%

Changeup (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

11%

10% of Brandon Bielak's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

31% of Brandon Bielak's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 31%

+16%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Brandon Bielak strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -4.5% 3%

Walk +1.9% +1.4% 40%

In Play -1.6% +3.1% 39%

On Base +3.1% +1.2% 31%

Hit +1.1% -0.2% 14%

Single +0.3% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.2%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Brandon Bielak induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +1.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +1.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +1.3% 3%

Pop up -1.3% -0.4%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Bielak are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +1.5%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% -3.4% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% -0.5% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +0.8%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Brandon Bielak in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-24	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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