Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Sean Manaea

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

Sean Manaea

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

425th out of 568 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Manaea

Rob Refsnyder has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Sean Manaea, which is 1.6% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Manaea.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	19.8%	2.6%	5.0%	12.3%	11.0%	29.1%
Refsnyder	-1.6	-1.9	-0.2	-0.1	-1.6	+0.2	+3.9
Manaea	-0.3	-1.7	0.0	+0.5	-2.2	+1.3	+2.8

Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Sean Manaea is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Refsnyder has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Sean Manaea throws a Sinker 44% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has a B+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

44%

Changeup (L)

19%

Slider (L)

16%

4-Seam (L)

14%

13% of Sean Manaea's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

52% of Sean Manaea's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 52%

+29%

Extreme Break 40%

+24%

Medium Fast Velo 25%

+10%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Sean Manaea strikes out 17.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +1.3% 3%

Walk +1.9% -0.4% 40%

In Play -1.6% -1.0% 39%

On Base +3.1% -0.6% 31%

Hit +1.1% -0.2% 14%

Single +0.3% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.2%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Sean Manaea induces Standard Grounders at a 34.4% rate, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +0.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.9% 3%

Pop up -1.3% -0.4%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 27.8% of batted balls allowed by Sean Manaea are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +3.6%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%