Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Yonny Chirinos

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Yonny Chirinos

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

167th out of 568 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 1.5% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.1%	22.6%	3.3%	4.9%	14.3%	11.5%	19.8%
Refsnyder	+1.5	+0.8	+0.6	-0.2	+0.5	+0.7	-5.5
Chirinos	-0.2	-1.4	+0.3	-0.3	-1.4	+1.2	+0.2

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Refsnyder has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

51%

Slider (R)

25%

Splitter (R)

20%

14% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

40% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 40%

+25%

Low Ride 46%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 9.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -7.9% 3%

Walk +1.9% -0.6% 40%

In Play -1.6% +8.5% 39%

On Base +3.1% +2.4% 31%

Hit +1.1% +3.0% 14%

Single +0.3% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.5%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos induces Standard Grounders at a 36.7% rate, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.5% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +2.3%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +2.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +1.2%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +2.1% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% +0.6% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% -1.9% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +2.1%

Rob Refsnyder has 2 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-07	Strikeout
2022-09-07	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History