Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for H. Brazoban

230th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

Huascar Brazoban

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

380th out of 568 (Worst 33%)

Leans in favor of Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Huascar Brazoban, which is 0.6% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Brazoban.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	17.9%	1.7%	4.5%	11.7%	15.2%	23.9%
Refsnyder	+0.6	-3.8	-1.1	-0.6	-2.1	+4.4	-1.4
Brazoban	+0.6	-2.3	-0.1	-0.1	-2.1	+2.9	+0.8

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Huascar Brazoban is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Huascar Brazoban throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Rob Refsnyder hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

32%

Changeup (R)

27%

4-Seam (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

20%

8% of Huascar Brazoban's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Non-Competitive 12%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

34% of Huascar Brazoban's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 34%

+20%

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Fastball (R) 73%

+19%

Just Gravity 29%

+16%

Offspeed (R) 27%

+16%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Huascar Brazoban strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +2.7% 3%

Walk +1.9% +4.4% 40%

In Play -1.6% -7.1% 39%

On Base +3.1% +1.4% 31%

Hit +1.1% -3.0% 14%

Single +0.3% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.1%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Huascar Brazoban induces Standard Grounders at a 43.1% rate, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -5.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +3.1% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -4.7% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.0%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 17.2% of batted balls allowed by Huascar Brazoban are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +11.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -7.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -7.1%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% +5.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -2.4% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -2.7% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% -2.3% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +2.4%

Rob Refsnyder has 3 plate appearances against Huascar Brazoban in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.18	0.00	0.02	0.16			0.060

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-03	Groundout			2%	98%
2024-07-03	Groundout		2%	3%	95%
2023-06-28	Single			11%	89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History