Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Ty Blach

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Ty Blach

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

2nd out of 568 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Ty Blach, which is 6.0% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Blach.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.6%	30.4%	3.8%	7.9%	18.7%	8.2%	11.5%
Refsnyder	+6.0	+8.7	+1.0	+2.8	+4.9	-2.6	-13.8
Blach	+1.3	+0.6	+0.1	+0.9	-0.4	+0.7	-1.0

Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Ty Blach is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Refsnyder has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Ty Blach throws a Sinker 56% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has a B+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

56%

Changeup (L)

24%

Curve (L)

10%

Cutter (L)

13% of Ty Blach's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

50% of Ty Blach's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 50%

+35%

Medium Slow Velo 28%

+14%

Low Ride 36%

+12%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+11%

Fastball (L) 63%

+8%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Ty Blach strikes out 8.8% of the batters he faces, which is 10.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -10.3% 3%

Walk +1.9% -2.3% 40%

In Play -1.6% +12.6% 39%

On Base +3.1% +8.4% 31%

Hit +1.1% +10.7% 14%

Single +0.3% +4.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +4.9% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +1.0%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Ty Blach induces Standard Grounders at a 31.0% rate, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -3.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -3.7% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +3.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.3% -1.3%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 28.9% of batted balls allowed by Ty Blach are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% +4.6%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% -3.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +0.3% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% +2.5% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% +1.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% +0.6% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +2.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% -1.2% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% -2.8%

Rob Refsnyder has 2 plate appearances against Ty Blach in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.91	0.07	0.75	0.09			0.457

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-23	Double	1%	55%	9%	36%
2024-07-23	Flyout	6%	21%		73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History