Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Aaron Bummer

234th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Aaron Bummer

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

524th out of 568 (Worst 8%)

Strong advantage for Bummer
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Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Bummer, which is 3.2% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Bummer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%19.2%1.4%3.9%13.9%10.1%31.1%
Refsnyder-3.2-2.5-1.4-1.2+0.1-0.7+5.8
Bummer+0.4-0.7-0.2-0.1-0.4+1.0+0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Aaron Bummer is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Refsnyder has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Bummer throws a Sinker 55% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has a B+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
55%
   Slider (L)
27%
   Cutter (L)
10%
   4-Seam (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Bummer strikes out 19.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% +7.3% 3%         Walk +1.9% +2.0% 40%         In Play -1.6% -9.3% 39%         On Base +3.1% 0.0% 31%         Hit +1.1% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.3% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% 0.0% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -2.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years