Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Joe Musgrove

209th out of 436 (Best 49%)

Joe Musgrove

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

539th out of 568 (Worst 5%)

Strong advantage for Musgrove

Rob Refsnyder has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Joe Musgrove, which is 6.7% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Musgrove.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.8%	18.7%	2.9%	4.3%	11.5%	7.1%	34.1%
Refsnyder	-6.7	-3.0	+0.1	-0.8	-2.3	-3.7	+8.9
Musgrove	+0.1	-0.7	+0.2	-0.2	-0.7	+0.7	+4.4

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Joe Musgrove is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Refsnyder has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Joe Musgrove throws a 4-seam fastball 24% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

24%

Slider (R)

23%

Curve (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

Sinker (R)

11% of Joe Musgrove's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

37% of Joe Musgrove's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 37%

+24%

Large Break 22%

+17%

Extreme Drop 21%

+17%

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Joe Musgrove strikes out 20.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +6.7% 3%

Walk +1.9% -4.3% 40%

In Play -1.6% -2.4% 39%

On Base +3.1% -9.3% 31%

Hit +1.1% -5.1% 14%

Single +0.3% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -2.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.9%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Joe Musgrove induces Standard Grounders at a 35.2% rate, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.3% -0.6%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 22.3% of batted balls allowed by Joe Musgrove are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -2.0%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 13.0% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%