Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Steven Okert

403rd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Steven Okert

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

20th out of 568 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 38.3% chance of reaching base vs Steven Okert, which is 5.8% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 3.8% higher than batters facing Okert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.3%	22.4%	3.5%	7.4%	11.5%	15.9%	22.4%
Refsnyder	+5.8	+0.7	+0.7	+2.3	-2.3	+5.2	-2.8
Okert	+3.8	-0.4	+0.5	+0.8	-1.7	+4.2	-1.0

Rob Refsnyder is better vs left-handed pitching. Steven Okert is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Refsnyder has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Steven Okert throws a Slider 57% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has a D grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

57%

4-Seam (L)

32%

13% of Steven Okert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

46% of Steven Okert's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 46%

+29%

Breaking (L) 57%

+28%

Medium Break 35%

+26%

Small Drop 24%

+11%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Steven Okert strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +3.7% 3%

Walk +1.9% +0.3% 40%

In Play -1.6% -4.0% 39%

On Base +3.1% -4.7% 31%

Hit +1.1% -5.0% 14%

Single +0.3% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -2.5% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Steven Okert induces Standard Grounders at a 25.1% rate, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -9.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +1.9% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +6.1%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 19.8% of batted balls allowed by Steven Okert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +4.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -1.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -4.5%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.0% -6.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -2.6% -3.3% 18%

7 to 18° +8.2% -1.7% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% +3.2% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +1.3% +2.5% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +7.2%

Rob Refsnyder has 1 plate appearance against Steven Okert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-04	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History