Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

113th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

321st out of 568 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Refsnyder
3

Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 2.4% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%25.9%3.4%5.8%16.7%4.2%23.5%
Refsnyder-2.4+4.2+0.6+0.7+2.9-6.6-1.7
Mikolas-2.0-2.1+0.1-0.8-1.4+0.1+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% -3.2% 3%         Walk +1.9% -4.0% 40%         In Play -1.6% +7.2% 39%         On Base +3.1% -0.7% 31%         Hit +1.1% +3.3% 14%         Single +0.3% +1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years