Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for M. Lorenzen

345th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Michael Lorenzen

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

158th out of 568 (Best 29%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Michael Lorenzen, which is 3.1% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Lorenzen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.6%	20.6%	2.7%	5.2%	12.6%	15.0%	20.4%
Refsnyder	+3.1	-1.2	-0.1	+0.1	-1.2	+4.2	-4.8
Lorenzen	+2.3	-1.2	0.0	+0.3	-1.4	+3.4	+0.2

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Lorenzen is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Refsnyder has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Lorenzen throws a 4-seam fastball 25% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

25%

Slider (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

13%

Sinker (R)

12%

9% of Michael Lorenzen's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

39% of Michael Lorenzen's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Large Break 32%

+11%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Michael Lorenzen strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% -1.6% 3%

Walk +1.9% +1.3% 40%

In Play -1.6% +0.3% 39%

On Base +3.1% +0.4% 31%

Hit +1.1% -0.8% 14%

Single +0.3% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.8%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Michael Lorenzen induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% +1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.3%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Michael Lorenzen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -0.9%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%