Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Yu Darvish

159th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

438th out of 568 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Darvish
2

Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 3.8% lower than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%21.2%3.1%5.1%13.0%7.5%26.5%
Refsnyder-3.8-0.6+0.4-0.1-0.9-3.3+1.3
Darvish-0.5-1.0-0.1-0.5-0.4+0.5+3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Rob Refsnyder hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% +6.7% 3%         Walk +1.9% -1.6% 40%         In Play -1.6% -5.1% 39%         On Base +3.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit +1.1% -3.2% 14%         Single +0.3% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years