Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

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matchup for Kyle Gibson

236th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Kyle Gibson

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matchup for Rob Refsnyder

196th out of 568 (Best 35%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder
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Model Prediction

Rob Refsnyder has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 2.6% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Gibson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%21.7%2.7%4.8%14.1%13.5%21.4%
Refsnyder+2.6-0.1-0.1-0.3+0.3+2.7-3.9
Gibson+0.8-1.9-0.2-0.4-1.3+2.8+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
19%
   4-Seam (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% -2.6% 3%         Walk +1.9% -0.1% 40%         In Play -1.6% +2.6% 39%         On Base +3.1% +3.1% 31%         Hit +1.1% +3.2% 14%         Single +0.3% +1.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.9% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years