Matchup Machine

Rob Refsnyder

matchup for Lance Lynn

229th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

Lance Lynn

matchup for Rob Refsnyder

216th out of 568 (Best 39%)

Strong advantage for Refsnyder

Rob Refsnyder has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Lance Lynn, which is 0.1% higher than Refsnyder's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Lynn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	22.8%	3.3%	5.8%	13.7%	9.8%	21.5%
Refsnyder	+0.1	+1.1	+0.5	+0.7	-0.1	-1.0	-3.7
Lynn	-0.2	-1.3	+0.2	0.0	-1.5	+1.1	+1.6

Rob Refsnyder is worse vs right-handed pitching. Lance Lynn is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Refsnyder has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Lance Lynn throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Rob Refsnyder has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

25%

Sinker (R)

16%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

7% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

85% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Rob Refsnyder has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 85%

+31%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Low Ride 36%

+12%

Small Break 19%

+10%

14.4% of Rob Refsnyder's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Lance Lynn strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +1.4% 3%

Walk +1.9% -1.5% 40%

In Play -1.6% +0.2% 39%

On Base +3.1% -2.1% 31%

Hit +1.1% -0.6% 14%

Single +0.3% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.4%

39.9% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Lance Lynn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.3% rate, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.4% -2.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +2.5% 9%

Rising Liner +4.2% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.4%

20.4% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -0.3%

9.8% of Rob Refsnyder's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Rob Refsnyder are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%