Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ketel Marte

matchup for Yu Darvish

362nd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for Ketel Marte

399th out of 568 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Marte

Ketel Marte has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 3.3% lower than Marte's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.7%	22.0%	3.8%	5.4%	12.8%	8.8%	21.3%
Marte	-3.3	-0.3	+0.3	+0.6	-1.2	-3.0	-0.3
Darvish	+1.5	-0.2	+0.5	-0.2	-0.5	+1.7	-2.1

Ketel Marte is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Marte has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Ketel Marte has an A- grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ketel Marte has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Ketel Marte has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

11.2% of Ketel Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.7% +6.7% 3%

Walk +3.4% -1.6% 39%

In Play +2.3% -5.1% 39%

On Base +7.0% -4.8% 31%

Hit +3.6% -3.2% 14%

Single -0.1% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +3.3% -0.5%

39.2% of Ketel Marte's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.8% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.8% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% +1.7% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +0.4%

29.1% of Ketel Marte's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.8% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.0% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.8% -2.8%

8.2% of Ketel Marte's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Ketel Marte are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.9% -1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.8% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.0% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -1.9% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -3.2% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% 0.0% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +2.9%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	23	20	3	1	1	1	7	3	0.150
Expected From Contact →			5.07	1.58	1.15	2.35			0.254

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-27	Groundout		1%	5%	93%
2024-09-27	Walk
2024-09-27	Walk
2023-08-19	Lineout		10%	62%	28%
2023-08-19	Groundout			45%	55%
2023-08-19	Flyout				99%
2023-04-23	Strikeout
2023-04-23	Strikeout
2023-04-23	Triple	6%	65%	3%	27%
2023-04-04	Strikeout
2023-04-04	GIDP			7%	93%
2023-04-04	Flyout				100%
2022-09-18	Walk
2022-09-18	Strikeout
2022-09-07	Flyout		1%	5%	94%
2022-09-07	Strikeout
2022-09-07	GIDP		8%	5%	87%
2022-07-15	Home Run	93%	5%		2%
2022-07-15	Single		7%	77%	16%
2022-07-15	Flyout	59%	16%	1%	24%
2022-04-07	Strikeout
2022-04-07	Strikeout
2022-04-07	Groundout			24%	75%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe