Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Adam Duvall

matchup for Yu Darvish

20th out of 436 (Best 5%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for Adam Duvall

404th out of 568 (Worst 29%)

Strong advantage for Darvish

Adam Duvall has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 3.2% lower than Duvall's typical expectations, and 5.4% lower than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	23.8%	18.4%	3.9%	4.9%	9.6%	5.4%	35.3%
Duvall	-3.2	-1.7	+0.3	-0.3	-1.8	-1.5	+1.6
Darvish	-5.4	-3.8	+0.6	-0.6	-3.8	-1.6	+11.9

Adam Duvall is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Duvall has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Adam Duvall has an A+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Adam Duvall has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

18.8% of Adam Duvall's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.1% +6.7% 5%

Walk -2.2% -1.6% 42%

In Play -4.8% -5.1% 39%

On Base -9.7% -4.8% 31%

Hit -7.5% -3.2% 14%

Single -5.5% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -5.1% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +3.2% -0.5%

21.7% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.7% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -12.7% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.7% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -2.3% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.4% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +2.6% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.0% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +3.1% +0.4%

25.9% of Adam Duvall's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.2% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.1% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% -2.8%

18.4% of Adam Duvall's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Adam Duvall are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -8.6% -1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.5% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -3.6% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -5.2% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +2.1% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +7.0% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° +3.2% 0.0% 8%

Above 50° +8.7% +2.9%

Adam Duvall has 6 plate appearances against Yu Darvish in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	0	1	2	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.93	0.23	0.92	0.77			0.321

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-13	Single			63%	37%
2022-05-13	Single				99%
2022-05-13	Flyout		2%		98%
2022-04-17	Double		85%	13%	3%
2022-04-17	Strikeout
2022-04-17	Flyout	23%	6%		71%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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