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Nick Castellanos

matchup for Yu Darvish

365th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for N. Castellanos

329th out of 568 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Castellanos

Nick Castellanos has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 1.8% lower than Castellanos's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.7%	25.5%	3.5%	7.1%	14.8%	4.2%	21.5%
Castellanos	-1.8	-0.2	+0.3	+0.4	-0.9	-1.6	-1.0
Darvish	+0.4	+3.3	+0.2	+1.6	+1.5	-2.9	-1.9

Nick Castellanos is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Castellanos has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Nick Castellanos has an A- grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nick Castellanos has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Nick Castellanos has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

12.1% of Nick Castellanos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +6.7% 5%

Walk -2.7% -1.6% 37%

In Play +7.0% -5.1% 39%

On Base +7.6% -4.8% 31%

Hit +10.3% -3.2% 14%

Single +4.1% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +4.4% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +1.7% -0.5%

31.4% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.4% +1.7% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +0.4%

23.7% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.1% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.6% -2.8%

13.9% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Nick Castellanos are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.3% -1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.2% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +3.4% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +2.4% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% 0.0% 8%

Above 50° -2.5% +2.9%

Nick Castellanos has 15 plate appearances against Yu Darvish in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 15 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	15	15	4	0	0	4	2	0	0.267
Expected From Contact →			4.96	0.00	0.08	4.87			0.330

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-14	Single			54%	46%
2023-07-14	Groundout			55%	45%
2023-07-14	Lineout			92%	7%
2022-10-23	Hit By Pitch
2022-10-23	GIDP			23%	76%
2022-10-23	Pop Out				100%
2022-10-18	Strikeout
2022-10-18	Lineout			32%	67%
2022-10-18	Flyout		5%		95%
2022-06-26	Single			39%	61%
2022-06-26	Single			90%	9%
2022-06-26	Single			90%	10%
2022-05-19	Flyout				100%
2022-05-19	Forceout			11%	89%
2022-05-19	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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