Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Louie Varland

400th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Louie Varland

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

116th out of 568 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 38.5% chance of reaching base vs Louie Varland, which is 3.4% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Varland.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.5%	27.8%	3.9%	5.8%	18.0%	10.8%	26.5%
Ozuna	+3.4	+4.8	+0.5	+0.5	+3.8	-1.4	-0.3
Varland	+4.3	+1.2	+0.7	+0.5	0.0	+3.1	+4.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Louie Varland is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Louie Varland throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

11%

Slider (R)

10%

14% of Louie Varland's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

73% of Louie Varland's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 73%

+19%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Medium Ride 26%

+12%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Louie Varland strikes out 16.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +0.5% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% +1.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% +3.9% 31%

Hit +1.9% +5.7% 14%

Single -0.6% +2.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +3.0% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Louie Varland induces Standard Grounders at a 32.6% rate, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +4.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +2.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -1.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 28.6% of batted balls allowed by Louie Varland are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +4.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%