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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Alex Vesia

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

Alex Vesia

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

541st out of 568 (Worst 5%)

Moderate advantage for Vesia

Marcell Ozuna has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Alex Vesia, which is 5.2% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Vesia.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	13.6%	3.3%	3.5%	6.9%	16.3%	37.0%
Ozuna	-5.2	-9.3	-0.1	-1.9	-7.3	+4.1	+10.2
Vesia	+3.9	-1.3	+0.7	-0.3	-1.6	+5.2	+2.2

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Alex Vesia is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Vesia throws a 4-seam fastball 66% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

66%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

10% of Alex Vesia's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 10%

+5%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 3%

-6%

48% of Alex Vesia's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 48%

+29%

Extreme Ride 32%

+29%

Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Fastball (L) 66%

+11%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Alex Vesia strikes out 24.6% of the batters he faces, which is 12.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +12.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% +2.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -15.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% -9.7% 31%

Hit +1.9% -12.2% 14%

Single -0.6% -6.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -5.6% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Alex Vesia induces Standard Grounders at a 21.6% rate, which is 12.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -12.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +9.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +6.4%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.3% of batted balls allowed by Alex Vesia are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +3.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -3.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -3.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -6.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -2.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -4.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +6.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +12.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Alex Vesia in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.85	0.00	0.01	0.84			0.283

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-14	Flyout				100%
2023-09-02	Pop Out				100%
2022-04-19	Single			84%	16%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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