Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for S. Schwellenbach

254th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Spencer Schwellenbach

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

464th out of 568 (Worst 18%)

Leans in favor of Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Spencer Schwellenbach, which is 3.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Schwellenbach.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	24.4%	2.6%	5.6%	16.2%	7.2%	28.8%
Ozuna	-3.6	+1.4	-0.7	+0.2	+2.0	-5.0	+2.0
Schwellenbach	+1.5	+0.3	+0.1	0.0	+0.2	+1.2	+4.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Spencer Schwellenbach is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Spencer Schwellenbach throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

30%

Slider (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

17%

Curve (R)

14%

Splitter (R)

11%

Sinker (R)

12% of Spencer Schwellenbach's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

17% of Spencer Schwellenbach's pitches are classified as Large Drop, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Drop 17%

+12%

Medium Break 30%

+11%

Very Fast Velo 19%

+11%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Spencer Schwellenbach strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +1.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% -3.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% +1.8% 39%

On Base +4.2% -0.5% 31%

Hit +1.9% +2.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Spencer Schwellenbach induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +2.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -2.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -1.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 29.2% of batted balls allowed by Spencer Schwellenbach are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -5.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +4.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 15.2% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%