Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Nick Sandlin

362nd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Nick Sandlin

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

213th out of 568 (Best 38%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Nick Sandlin, which is 1.6% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Sandlin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.8%	21.0%	4.9%	4.6%	11.6%	15.7%	32.1%
Ozuna	+1.6	-1.9	+1.5	-0.8	-2.6	+3.5	+5.2
Sandlin	+2.9	+0.4	+1.1	+0.3	-1.0	+2.6	+4.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Nick Sandlin is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Nick Sandlin throws a Slider 44% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

44%

4-Seam (R)

24%

Sinker (R)

21%

Splitter (R)

11%

8% of Nick Sandlin's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

30% of Nick Sandlin's pitches are classified as Extreme Slow Velocity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Slow Velo 30%

+25%

Medium Break 24%

+15%

Small Drop 27%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Nick Sandlin strikes out 20.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +7.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% +5.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -12.4% 39%

On Base +4.2% +0.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -4.4% 14%

Single -0.6% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.6% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +1.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Nick Sandlin induces Standard Grounders at a 35.3% rate, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.9% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.6%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Nick Sandlin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -1.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +0.7%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 14.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +1.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -5.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +3.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.2% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +5.3%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Nick Sandlin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.64	0.00	0.00	0.64			0.641

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-04	Single			64%	36%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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