Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for S. Woods Rich.

390th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Simeon Woods Rich.

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

140th out of 568 (Best 25%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna
10

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.4% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 2.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.4%25.7%3.9%5.1%16.8%11.7%21.7%
Ozuna+2.2+2.7+0.5-0.3+2.6-0.6-5.2
Woods Rich.+3.4+1.2+0.50.0+0.7+2.2+0.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% -3.4% 3%         Walk +2.3% +1.2% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.2% 39%         On Base +4.2% +4.2% 31%         Hit +1.9% +3.0% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +1.0%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.680.000.000.670.678
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-27Groundout67%32%
2024-08-27Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.