Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Brayan Bello

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Brayan Bello

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

377th out of 568 (Worst 34%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Brayan Bello, which is 0.4% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Bello.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.6%	20.7%	1.9%	5.1%	13.7%	15.0%	24.8%
Ozuna	+0.4	-2.3	-1.5	-0.3	-0.5	+2.7	-2.0
Bello	+3.7	-0.1	+0.1	+0.4	-0.6	+3.8	+2.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Brayan Bello is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Brayan Bello throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

23%

4-Seam (R)

13%

12% of Brayan Bello's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

56% of Brayan Bello's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 56%

+41%

Small Drop 38%

+25%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Brayan Bello strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -1.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% +1.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% +2.3% 31%

Hit +1.9% +1.8% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Brayan Bello induces Standard Grounders at a 41.3% rate, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -6.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.7%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 31.3% of batted balls allowed by Brayan Bello are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -3.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +7.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +6.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -3.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -3.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Brayan Bello in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.09	0.00	0.00	0.09			0.032

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-26	Strikeout
2023-07-26	Groundout			9%	91%
2023-07-26	Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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