Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Ryan Walker

356th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

Ryan Walker

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

512th out of 568 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Walker

Marcell Ozuna has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Walker, which is 5.4% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Walker.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.8%	20.7%	2.7%	5.7%	12.3%	9.1%	33.9%
Ozuna	-5.4	-2.3	-0.7	+0.3	-1.9	-3.1	+7.0
Walker	+2.1	+0.9	+0.5	+1.2	-0.8	+1.2	+2.8

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Walker is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Walker throws a Sinker 52% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

52%

Slider (R)

47%

10% of Ryan Walker's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

48% of Ryan Walker's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 48%

+35%

Large Break 27%

+22%

Very Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Breaking (R) 47%

+17%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Walker strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +6.5% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -5.7% 39%

On Base +4.2% -1.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -1.1% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.8%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Walker induces Standard Grounders at a 42.7% rate, which is 8.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.9% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +8.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -3.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +3.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -5.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 19.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Walker are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +5.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +5.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -5.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -4.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.2% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +7.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.6% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -5.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.7%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Walker in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.31	0.00	0.00	0.31			0.156

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-12	Single			27%	73%
2023-08-26	Groundout			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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