Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Michael Grove

406th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

Michael Grove

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

424th out of 568 (Worst 26%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Michael Grove, which is 2.3% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Grove.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.9%	21.2%	3.4%	5.2%	12.5%	11.7%	30.4%
Ozuna	-2.3	-1.8	+0.1	-0.2	-1.7	-0.5	+3.6
Grove	+3.9	+1.1	+0.9	+0.6	-0.4	+2.8	+1.8

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Grove is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Grove throws a Slider 40% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

40%

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

Sinker (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

22% of Michael Grove's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

56% of Michael Grove's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 56%

+25%

Small Break 32%

+21%

Slow Velo 27%

+12%

Extreme Drop 15%

+10%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Michael Grove strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -0.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% +0.6% 39%

On Base +4.2% -3.4% 31%

Hit +1.9% -2.9% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.8% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.8%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Michael Grove induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +1.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -3.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.8% of batted balls allowed by Michael Grove are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -3.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +2.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 5.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +3.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -2.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -6.0% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Michael Grove in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.98	0.82	0.12	0.04			0.491

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Single	82%	12%	4%	2%
2024-05-05	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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