Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Xzavion Curry

372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

Xzavion Curry

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

225th out of 568 (Best 40%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Xzavion Curry, which is 2.3% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Curry.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.8%	25.2%	4.2%	6.7%	14.4%	7.6%	20.8%
Ozuna	-2.3	+2.3	+0.8	+1.3	+0.2	-4.7	-6.1
Curry	+2.0	+0.2	+0.6	+0.5	-1.0	+1.8	+2.6

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Xzavion Curry is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Xzavion Curry throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

50%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Xzavion Curry's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

30% of Xzavion Curry's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 30%

+21%

Breaking (R) 47%

+16%

High Ride 25%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Xzavion Curry strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 8.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -8.5% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.9% 41%

In Play -4.3% +10.4% 39%

On Base +4.2% +3.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% +4.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +2.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Xzavion Curry induces Standard Grounders at a 20.7% rate, which is 13.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -13.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +1.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +5.7% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.2%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 28.2% of batted balls allowed by Xzavion Curry are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +3.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 15.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -9.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -3.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -2.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +4.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +4.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +4.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +3.8%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Xzavion Curry in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-03	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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