Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Osvaldo Bido

337th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Osvaldo Bido

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

456th out of 568 (Worst 20%)

Leans in favor of Ozuna
2

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Osvaldo Bido, which is 2.9% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Bido.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%20.2%2.8%5.6%11.8%12.2%30.1%
Ozuna-2.9-2.8-0.6+0.2-2.4-0.1+3.3
Bido+2.3+0.6+0.3+0.8-0.5+1.7+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Osvaldo Bido is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Osvaldo Bido throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Cutter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Osvaldo Bido strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% -1.3% 3%         Walk +2.3% +2.1% 41%         In Play -4.3% -0.9% 39%         On Base +4.2% -0.4% 31%         Hit +1.9% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.2% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -1.6%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Osvaldo Bido in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.830.000.020.810.415
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-07Single2%81%17%
2023-08-07Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.