Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Cody Bradford

342nd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Cody Bradford

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

432nd out of 568 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna
3

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Cody Bradford, which is 4.4% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Bradford.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%23.5%4.0%5.3%14.2%7.3%28.3%
Ozuna-4.4+0.5+0.6-0.10.0-4.9+1.4
Bradford+2.2+0.6+0.8+0.2-0.5+1.6+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cody Bradford is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cody Bradford throws a 4-seam fastball 54% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
54%
   Changeup (L)
27%
   Slider (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Cody Bradford strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +0.2% 3%         Walk +2.3% -4.3% 41%         In Play -4.3% +4.1% 39%         On Base +4.2% -4.4% 31%         Hit +1.9% -0.1% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +1.5%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Cody Bradford in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.006
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-15Flyout1%99%
2023-05-15Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.