Marcell Ozuna has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Cody Bradford, which is 4.4% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Bradford.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 30.8% | 23.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 28.3% |
Ozuna | -4.4 | +0.5 | +0.6 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -4.9 | +1.4 |
Bradford | +2.2 | +0.6 | +0.8 | +0.2 | -0.5 | +1.6 | +5.8 |
Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cody Bradford is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Cody Bradford throws a 4-seam fastball 54% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Cody Bradford strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Cody Bradford in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.006 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-05-15 | Flyout | 1% | 99% | ||
2023-05-15 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.