Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for C. Hernandez

377th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

318th out of 568 (Worst 44%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.9%	19.4%	3.2%	5.3%	10.9%	15.6%	25.2%
Ozuna	-0.2	-3.6	-0.2	-0.1	-3.3	+3.3	-1.7
Hernandez	+3.4	-0.9	+0.3	+0.1	-1.4	+4.4	+0.5

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -1.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% +2.0% 41%

In Play -4.3% -0.4% 39%

On Base +4.2% +1.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% -0.8% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.6%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 28.1% rate, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +4.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.6%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.5% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -3.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +3.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.8%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -6.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -2.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.1% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +2.0% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +5.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-27	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe